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The term "trend analysis" refers to the concept of
collecting information and attempting to spot a pattern, or trend,
in the information. In some fields of study, the term "trend
analysis" has more formally-defined meanings.[1][2][3]
Although trend analysis is often used to predict future events, it
could be used to estimate uncertain events in the past, such as how
many ancient kings probably ruled between two dates, based on data
such as the average years which other known kings reigned.
Project management
In project management trend analysis is a mathematical technique
that uses historical results (loosu) to predict future outcome. This
is achieved by tracking variances in cost and schedule performance.
In this context, it is a project management quality control
tool.[4][5]
Statistics
In statistics, trend analysis often refers to techniques for
extracting an underlying pattern of behaviour in a time series which
would otherwise be partly or nearly completely hidden by noise. A
simple description of these techniques is trend estimation, which
can be undertaken within a formal regression analysis.
History
Today, trend analysis often refers to the science of studying
changes in social patterns, including fashion, technology and the
consumer behavior.
Notes
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Trend analysis tries to predict a
trend like a bull market run and ride that trend until
data suggests a trend reversal (e.g. bull to bear
market). Trend analysis is helpful because moving with
trends, and not against them, will lead to profit for an
investor. "Trend analysis Definition" (2005), WebFinance,
Inc., web:
Investor-TA: defined as: a comparative analysis of a
company's financial ratios over time.
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"SETA ::
Office of Social & Economic Trend Analysis" (2006),
Iowa State University (IAstate), web:
SETA-TA.
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"Public Attitudes on Higher
Education - A Trend Analysis, 1993 to 2003" (February
2004), John Immerwahr (Senior Research Fellow),
Public Agenda (HigherEducation.org), web:
HighEduc.
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Project Management Book of
Knowledge, PMBOK, PMI, 1997, page 334.
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PMBOK Ready Reckoner Pages 7 and 8.
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